Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcab547353d0069437f9bd8f20fc4fee7593f0d309c497fafba7011b2f8c7845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 36c | 27,993$10,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,871.26 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 27,728$19,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 34c | 18,500$6,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,275 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 64c | 11,902$7,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 10,357$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Under | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.21 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 64c | 8,474$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.41 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 63c | 6,308$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.31 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 71c | 6,087$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.3 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 63c | 6,036$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.6 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 64c | 5,939$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Under | 36c | 4,880$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.07 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 63c | 4,462$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 38c | 2,509$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 38c | 1,127$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.55 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 62c | 1,048$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…5d27backed Over | 64c | 780.31$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 36c | 694.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.9 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 63c | 610.48$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.49 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 50c | 596.5$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 64c | 538.03$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…009cbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 481.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 78c | 475.88$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 64c | 442.05$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 41c | 373.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…f54fbacked Over | 64c | 266.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 7c | 234$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 76c | 208.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Under | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…e722backed Over | 23c | 187.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 36c | 179.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 63c | 160.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 24c | 149.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…f5f0backed Over | 65c | 146.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 65c | 146.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…4a6abacked Under | 39c | 128.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…b1b1backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…1287backed Over | 63c | 118.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 74c | 111.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 64c | 105.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9172…2e79backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Over | 39c | 92.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…5c8dbacked Over | 63c | 89.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc6…c2eabacked Over | 63c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…e2fabacked Under | 75c | 85.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Over | 48c | 81.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 54c | 80.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 64c | 69.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 43c | 64.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Under | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked Over | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Under | 38c | 58.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Under | 79c | 58.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Over | 63c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Over | 48c | 54.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…f8d0backed Under | 38c | 53.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Over | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)West Ham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.