Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51d23497b67740d17716f28e00dd235c6d2890ed9b27ea39265ca5b0d34bfd28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juventus FCof Juventus FC, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 65c | 9,612$6,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Juventus FC | 30c | 5,040$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.88 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Juventus FC | 53c | 2,960$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Juventus FC | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Juventus FC | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 1,833$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.77 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 1,271$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.11 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 54c | 901.64$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.14 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 791.32$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.92 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Juventus FC | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Juventus FC | 31c | 484.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.02 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Juventus FC | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Juventus FC | 30c | 370.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.56 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Juventus FC | 32c | 368.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Juventus FC | 32c | 326.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.77 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked Juventus FC | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 53c | 255.68$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 240$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Juventus FC | 31c | 232.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Juventus FC | 32c | 157.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Juventus FC | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 139$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Juventus FC | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Juventus FC | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Juventus FC | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Juventus FC | 30c | 119.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 45c | 107.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 71c | 106.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Juventus FC | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 68c | 98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…4130backed Juventus FC | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 72c | 92.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Juventus FC | 50c | 87.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…14abbacked Juventus FC | 31c | 87.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 82.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 69c | 79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Juventus FC | 42c | 65.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Juventus FC | 52c | 59.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 58c | 52.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 63c | 50.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Juventus FC | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Juventus FC | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Juventus FC | 49c | 35.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Juventus FC | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Juventus FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…17f0backed Juventus FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Juventus FC | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 71c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 16.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)this page
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.