TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c55,663$26,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,741.7411848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under51c23,941$12,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,209.914658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeeb…135abacked Under53c9,175$4,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,86310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e1…88d4backed Under51c8,824$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5509952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c4,744$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.8993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c4,529$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.112,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under53c4,231$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.0296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c3,381$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c2,513$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.7238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Over45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+185%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over45c2,263$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.157560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c2,239$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.2820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under51c2,038$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,991$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.4652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under53c1,505$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.43050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under51c1,250$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Under27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61212657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Over50c1,004$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under4c1,004$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.087412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over51c870.69$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.643066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c760$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.23948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c728.34$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5422947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under51c699.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35722237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c518.96$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c504$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0412049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under35c484$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.413754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5a…4a26backed Over50c400.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over51c353.2$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.43148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…dc71backed Under38c319.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under48c293.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over37c270.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.442737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over48c266.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.218863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under62c244.11$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.022556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under51c222$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.224136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over44c209.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.514235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c209.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9112048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Under48c209.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3311547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c196$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over48c181.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.497847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under51c175.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.713167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c166.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c150.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9813142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Over50c147.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under51c143.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3616448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over41c141.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4611337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Over51c141.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.182268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4566…5cbdbacked Over49c138$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…8052backed Under51c137$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Over50c115.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under53c115$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4311529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Over49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under55c110.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over50c108.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.083050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under49c105.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ceb…6ea7backed Under64c103.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0085…77cbbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.417568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under51c92.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ae…ce36backed Over50c89.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4545…771fbacked Under56c86.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over54c81.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0336852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Under50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.46050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2649…faccbacked Over47c72.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…5651backed Over49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd0…732cbacked Over50c67.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.97650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f9…caa2backed Over50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2219436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.514142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over42c57.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5715045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.118952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0512946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over63c53.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9211856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over49c52.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.825354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.025450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Over51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.984245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4792…c6e1backed Over50c50.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252544%11 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.