TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under53c9,656$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.874566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c5,451$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.987938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.969952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf757…575dbacked Over1c2,349$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…dc71backed Under65c2,066$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c1,951$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.582,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b6…896ebacked Under75c1,446$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.43666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Under73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Under41c1,316$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.492568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcda…d764backed Over21c954.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over25c849.46$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over26c720$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.22733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…8fbfbacked Over15c660.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c494.79$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9813754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under41c488.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.541338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae2…90afbacked Under76c421.05$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under50c314.11$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.112050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over51c310.64$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.047847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Over51c307.84$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecb…514cbacked Under74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.993050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over26c296$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c289.89$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.551,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over35c272.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.276357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over31c239.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.488863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c224.02$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.917220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5419652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Over55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over37c194$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6311856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under53c141.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.466050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…3a6ebacked Under63c131.1$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under60c117.66$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7411529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c115.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under73c111$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.972568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c109.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over41c102.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.824060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over27c96.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under61c95.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over56c89.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.123050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under73c85.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.119078.9%71 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aaa…6a28backed Under73c83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b1…7cf6backed Over29c69.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Over40c68.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.07728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over49c65.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over45c59.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9b…c789backed Under74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under73c52.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2214452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under71c50.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2636852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105078%39 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Over58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a0…511ebacked Under65c46.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe709…027cbacked Under46c44.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over28c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.767245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Under74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Under74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed Over27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under73c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.531877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+84.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.718854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d6…1bb8backed Under53c30.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.714351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over48c28.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Under73c27.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Under74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce1…70a4backed Under74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc2…501bbacked Under74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under73c24.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8717955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under67c22.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.244151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under61c22.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68737.9%33 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over63c21.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.781752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a95…1d39backed Over59c20.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.615844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under74c16.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3216448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1521…9e4ebacked Under73c15.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.