NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d7c5239870557ee6c40bc0b9ad9d906432e9978ee59c6eb0ee0f73c587d255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Bucks, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,634,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,778,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,634,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 17c | 184,954$31,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,142.49 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Bucks | 31c | 137,410$41,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,917 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 17c | 45,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 41c | 43,676$17,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,953.48 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 20c | 40,032$7,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 17c | 38,027$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.34 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 19c | 32,646$6,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.77 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 31c | 28,617$8,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,930.73 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 69c | 20,168$13,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Bucks | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Timberwolves | 47c | 15,565$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,193.08 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 60c | 14,839$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 62c | 13,616$8,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.85 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 12,848$9,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.72 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 11,934$9,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.84 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 28c | 11,394$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.19 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Bucks | 44c | 11,023$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.8 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 24c | 10,685$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.6 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 10,683$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.36 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks | 19c | 10,461$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.71 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Bucks | 18c | 10,202$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.36 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bucks | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Bucks | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.47 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 42c | 9,977$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.77 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 79c | 9,601$7,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Timberwolves | 62c | 9,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Timberwolves | 52c | 8,696$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.16 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Timberwolves | 72c | 8,226$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.03 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Bucks | 42c | 7,733$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 16c | 7,100$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bucks | 17c | 7,059$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…1a24backed Bucks | 30c | 6,575$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bucks | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,497$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.62 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,300$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.74 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…00c7backed Timberwolves | 56c | 5,000$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 16c | 4,510$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.17 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 19c | 4,251$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.21 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Bucks | 1c | 4,202$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 28c | 4,166$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks | 48c | 4,058$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.91 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Bucks | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 3,991$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.26 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Bucks | 33c | 3,773$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 3,659$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.21 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Bucks | 21c | 3,541$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Bucks | 18c | 3,282$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.8 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Bucks | 9c | 3,129$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…cab1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,113$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Bucks | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,922$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.84 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0af6backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,789$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 1c | 2,482$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Bucks | 20c | 2,411$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.09 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Timberwolves | 62c | 2,404$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.61 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 1c | 2,403$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bucks | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…4323backed Bucks | 61c | 2,250$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…58b4backed Bucks | 1c | 2,239$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Timberwolves | 70c | 2,073$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bucks | 32c | 2,039$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.25 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Bucks | 1c | 2,001$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Bucks | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bucks | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bucks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a75fbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,985$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 3c | 1,893$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.8 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Bucks | 16c | 1,876$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9cb8backed Bucks | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Bucks | 16c | 1,797$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…b71fbacked Bucks | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Bucks | 46c | 1,739$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Bucks | 20c | 1,702$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.22 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks | 33c | 1,614$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.96 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bucks | 16c | 1,600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Bucks | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 1c | 1,533$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,523$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.25 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,464$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.46 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,454$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.5 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed Bucks | 59c | 1,439$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…a995backed Bucks | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,326$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.85 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Bucks | 16c | 1,326$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Bucks | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…63b2backed Bucks | 17c | 1,294$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,267$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.44 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…316bbacked Bucks | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,196$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.55 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Bucks | 50c | 1,180$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.17 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…09d8backed Bucks | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +240.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6d…964abacked Bucks | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Bucks | 27c | 1,103$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,070$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.79 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.