TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes60c60,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No40c56,188$22,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,4757938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c47,041$8,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,027.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes15c9,278$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,892.783638.9%14 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.24per pick15cpaid+1,305.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c5,034$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.522,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c4,381$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.8220544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6804658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c3,636$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.1496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No40c3,558$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4231957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No46c3,306$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.6912050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No21c2,433$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes62c1,623$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62312950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes56c1,426$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.2821058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes60c1,220$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.1427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No40c1,211$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.55641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No40c1,010$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.833537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c900$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c620$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes76c582.37$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.771776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No17c552$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes59c424$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.845556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ac…6439backed Yes75c415.19$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes60c405.83$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.68659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed No40c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No21c391.21$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.334721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Yes77c387.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Yes60c365.83$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes61c328.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.983953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No40c285.69$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.283636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No39c259.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3814742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea5…cc71backed Yes56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes58c249.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.793438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c247.66$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No27c240.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.091346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes80c236.78$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.361275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3312035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c203.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ce…8b91backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Yes58c191.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes60c168.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.274158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed No40c167.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678754%47 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No38c165.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3719549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No49c157.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No38c157$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No41c146.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584663%29 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes77c130.65$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes75c113.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…a200backed Yes78c107.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No40c102.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No40c99.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No43c91.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4850…6442backed Yes54c90.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.741540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes80c90.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.013151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1401…0707backed No40c90.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3660%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x132a…79aebacked Yes78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7fe…aff8backed Yes77c85.95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cab…f4ecbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3211666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.435954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked No41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6726744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de1…2d12backed Yes61c65.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.731070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No38c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.713648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1473…a1abbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes60c63.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…9949backed Yes60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No22c58.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.337568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e96…b214backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.635745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7615459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No38c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7628458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes61c50.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.