TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Clippers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,426,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,384,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,426,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf98d…7adbbacked Clippers9c207,032$18,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,632.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers9c169,217$14,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,706.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Clippers9c87,885$8,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,195.3747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers8c49,166$3,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,933.2896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf21a…b6e3backed Clippers9c29,401$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers9c23,765$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.582,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers18c18,318$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,287.174,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers11c18,283$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers12c15,296$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.372,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Clippers8c13,015$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.1861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Clippers12c12,465$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Clippers9c11,972$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12562546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Clippers8c9,445$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.581,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers9c8,200$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7381,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Clippers8c7,939$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.1535235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…c852backed Clippers9c7,539$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.493933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Clippers18c7,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Clippers8c6,399$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9116730.5%51 W · 116 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers15c5,940$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.931,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Clippers9c5,704$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Clippers9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers9c5,470$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed Clippers1c5,100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Clippers10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Clippers20c4,964$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.8448845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Clippers8c4,795$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5836741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers9c4,464$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.952,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Clippers9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Clippers2c4,298$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.667911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Clippers12c3,644$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4234227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x872b…c3c0backed Clippers15c3,390$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.51513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Clippers8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Clippers12c2,843$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.966811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Clippers9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Clippers9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers12c2,433$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.042,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed Clippers8c2,359$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.495433.3%18 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c7…62dabacked Clippers13c2,262$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Clippers9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee87…09adbacked Clippers9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013052.3%68 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Clippers10c1,841$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0421538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Clippers11c1,798$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7847751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Clippers15c1,605$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2518453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0d…8bb7backed Clippers9c1,600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445872.4%42 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Clippers9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13521951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Clippers9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13514244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Clippers4c1,423$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9130619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9470…7790backed Clippers9c1,411$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-79.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Clippers12c1,243$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505044%22 W · 28 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad6b…ee40backed Clippers9c1,236$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2560%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Clippers2c1,210$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7631430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Clippers8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Clippers9c1,167$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Clippers9c1,161$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0640536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Clippers8c1,125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9032827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers10c1,118$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.291,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Clippers9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Clippers9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053141.8%222 W · 309 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…2fd7backed Clippers9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede9…3656backed Clippers9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Clippers9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b5…316bbacked Clippers9c1,089$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+49.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Clippers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Clippers9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9027547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa14…f533backed Clippers8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Clippers8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Clippers6c970$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.248146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Clippers10c926.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.647030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c54…47f4backed Clippers9c888.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805841.4%24 W · 34 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5aae…36f5backed Clippers9c888.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011451.8%59 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb134…b496backed Clippers20c886.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Clippers9c847$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.233231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Clippers11c807.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6452643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Clippers9c797.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7523140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Clippers11c790$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.923348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a0…ef8cbacked Clippers9c789.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b9…831cbacked Clippers9c777.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x636d…df3dbacked Clippers9c777.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…c9e2backed Clippers3c722.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd518…1e93backed Clippers9c722.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd466…0b4fbacked Clippers7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x096f…5c68backed Clippers7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4926046.9%122 W · 138 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3e…ab88backed Clippers10c698.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705437%20 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers18c690$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed Clippers9c674.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.723647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Clippers15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Clippers11c656.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6813652.9%72 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Clippers9c655.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd852…8971backed Clippers13c644.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33cc…77aabacked Clippers9c641.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415d…e8b8backed Clippers8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers18c602.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.241,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Clippers8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Clippers5c572.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618123.8%43 W · 138 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.