NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc15bb2ff81a2437f5446bf4478538b2d22876d92aaa3aa285f19f2fb15c45039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00b2…cf16backed Under | 47c | 14,121$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 10,580$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7f…aa03backed Under | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 8,483$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 53c | 7,340$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.58 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 51c | 5,245$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 3,196$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 48c | 1,959$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.32 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 1,830$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 53c | 829.81$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.01 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 2c | 625.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 531$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 51c | 392.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.47 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 357.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 290.79$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 52c | 219.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 162.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…c2e1backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…dc0fbacked Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…af86backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 54c | 74.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…bbddbacked Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 46.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 46c | 45.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Over | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…aadabacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.