NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689c6d8c1ec684f3c079936d7d6dcb0c16486d8ac6ed03856d7da72d264eaa51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Under | 50c | 43,571$21,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,785.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 1c | 14,826$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 13,402$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,701 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,431$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…c0cfbacked Over | 50c | 10,008$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…a1eebacked Over | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 53c | 3,772$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.19 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 3c | 3,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 52c | 3,331$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 55c | 2,528$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.7 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 2,411$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over | 3c | 2,200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Over | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 1,976$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.36 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 1,392$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.32 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 3c | 1,105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.35 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Over | 3c | 1,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 985$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 589$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 475$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 49c | 465$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 429.63$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 55c | 356.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 45c | 315.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 299.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Over | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…b648backed Over | 10c | 265.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 48c | 263.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 48c | 208.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef31…1798backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Under | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 69c | 150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…bd63backed Under | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…7c59backed Under | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…8ba3backed Under | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…543cbacked Under | 49c | 95.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 18c | 80.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…04b2backed Over | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…6192backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Under | 20c | 52.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 44.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 33.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.