NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe130caf61b2c2a09e7314b01da2b0bec3922605aa039de5179d7b8cf0ad63ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 51c | 354,781$180,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,451.75 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 50c | 86,748$43,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,374 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 50c | 86,138$42,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,671.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Clippers | 49c | 69,750$34,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,435 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Clippers | 50c | 61,000$30,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,501 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 49c | 54,703$27,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,017.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers | 50c | 31,110$15,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,555 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Thunder | 49c | 26,995$13,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,767.43 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Clippers | 52c | 22,612$11,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,646.66 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Clippers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 50c | 18,845$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,344.78 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 49c | 12,977$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.73 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Clippers | 50c | 12,146$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.12 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 48c | 12,050$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,824 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…276abacked Thunder | 51c | 9,781$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…94fdbacked Thunder | 53c | 8,100$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 49c | 7,936$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Thunder | 50c | 4,535$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.46 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 51c | 4,010$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.94 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clippers | 51c | 3,165$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.21 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 50c | 3,015$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.73 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers | 54c | 2,554$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 48c | 2,206$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ee…f66cbacked Clippers | 50c | 1,176$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 50c | 1,170$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.34 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clippers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…4867backed Thunder | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…3fc7backed Clippers | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Thunder | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 48c | 655.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Clippers | 50c | 522$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Thunder | 52c | 428.85$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.85 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Clippers | 49c | 388.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Thunder | 51c | 384.76$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…a69abacked Thunder | 51c | 384$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…ecccbacked Clippers | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Clippers | 16c | 268.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Clippers | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Thunder | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Clippers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Clippers | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Thunder | 52c | 192.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 42c | 176.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Thunder | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Clippers | 50c | 149.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 50c | 140.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Clippers | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 47c | 132.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Thunder | 54c | 110.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Thunder | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Thunder | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Thunder | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Clippers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Thunder | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Clippers | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Clippers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Thunder | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Clippers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Clippers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Thunder | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Thunder | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…7052backed Thunder | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Clippers | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Clippers | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Thunder | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Thunder | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Thunder | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Clippers | 50c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…05ecbacked Clippers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…6f25backed Clippers | 31c | 32.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…3eaabacked Clippers | 69c | 30.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Clippers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Clippers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Thunder | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Clippers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7e95backed Clippers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Clippers | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Thunder | 51c | 24.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Clippers | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Thunder | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Thunder | 50c | 21.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 54c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Clippers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…ec4ebacked Thunder | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Clippers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.