TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ce0…59d5backed No0c15,675$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2d…2a45backed Yes14c7,010$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,010.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+601%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes16c5,366$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,507.31540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+125%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes17c3,915$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+497%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Yes19c2,632$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+261.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa154…321cbacked Yes25c1,882$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+297.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed No73c1,698$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2402650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299c…7e23backed Yes18c1,688$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+179.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf28…b40ebacked Yes19c1,421$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+423.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c77…2c45backed Yes19c1,286$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0845…6b6fbacked No70c1,111$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No74c1,099$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.1310451.9%54 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked No77c1,061$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.783839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3217…7d40backed Yes10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0972…5263backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd4…7546backed Yes16c934.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.77837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked Yes28c874.79$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Yes20c822.43$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+390.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483b…2fc8backed No77c728.66$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.422657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c0…764bbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa052…3525backed Yes14c695.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No79c673.68$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.781752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa60…ecc0backed Yes18c647.22$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes9c609.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.844330.2%13 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Yes28c602.46$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+250.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes17c600.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2c…3fb4backed Yes28c595.93$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+263.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff6…7c7bbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+122.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes33c550.52$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.43560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cc…4bafbacked Yes18c535.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes20c525$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd4…a4adbacked Yes27c500$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+274.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf476…8cefbacked Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes18c499.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+238.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes17c469.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+486.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked No75c468.95$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes13c456.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.08560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+168.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x867a…1bb1backed Yes22c448.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.32per pick32cpaid+96.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x00ee…9a7dbacked Yes27c425.93$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4082…ce4bbacked Yes24c424.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.341040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes18c415.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+470.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b58…9a40backed Yes19c409.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes26c399.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes41c399.96$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.752937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a6…cbdabacked No73c399.83$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e18…a525backed Yes18c388.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf6…94debacked Yes18c377.56$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No72c373.3$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Yes10c367.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick25cpaid+174.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Yes14c358$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick36cpaid+344.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…9d06backed Yes22c345.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f7…aa98backed Yes10c330$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+500%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes18c324.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+78.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes17c316.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.491030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes14c307.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.514032.5%13 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x437e…148bbacked Yes18c305.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46c8…0f7abacked Yes16c303.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+307.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc8f…006dbacked Yes10c301.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+209.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2492360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes8c299.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.998036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked No78c299.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Yes18c299.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.981850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed No73c299.96$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x688b…728bbacked Yes19c291.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+458.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb242…eb89backed No71c291.06$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x378e…2ca7backed Yes19c279.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+169.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…c74fbacked Yes18c278.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.782548%12 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Yes18c276.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.391291.7%11 W · 1 L+5.5wins+0.45per pick46cpaid+115.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x60e7…a6e2backed Yes19c252$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3df…e749backed Yes12c248.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e61…230abacked Yes29c238.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…e780backed Yes19c236.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes62c236.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.886750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d9…988bbacked Yes27c232.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e1…aa05backed Yes18c231.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+174.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c895backed Yes29c220$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes18c219.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.81475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick25cpaid+248.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033d…74e0backed Yes17c206.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+92.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes22c196.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+129.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fc…42afbacked Yes10c193.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes26c193.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+285.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked No78c190$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes21c181.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.934126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd999…2082backed Yes19c176.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…11b3backed Yes27c170.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed No76c169.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…6fe5backed Yes27c166.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+210.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x818b…f8a6backed Yes18c165.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+451.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes22c153.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+360.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes28c153.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bae…326bbacked Yes18c150$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+334%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No21c142.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes21c141.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.654040%16 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes28c140$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d0…908bbacked Yes17c137.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x582f…9cd5backed Yes15c136$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+589%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xebb0…e116backed Yes18c132.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.473100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+364.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes24c132.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9911154.1%60 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.