Stocks · resolved market
Will Google reach $330 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb376c3cea124f7c53d1d91af8a231d8f18bc0535f547fb95b7ab79e9fc5775aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 67c | 5,044$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.11 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 33c | 3,175$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.74 | 1,106 | 43.9%486 W · 620 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,111$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 38c | 576$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 68c | 568.86$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 24c | 146.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 64c | 146$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 124$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 123.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 121.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 19c | 121.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 70c | 106.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 28c | 104.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 74c | 89.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 16c | 88.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc014…5ff4backed Yes | 20c | 84.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 28c | 61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked No | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 29c | 41.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…6e92backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google reach $330 in March?this page
- Will Google dip to $215 in March?No won
- Will Google dip to $240 in March?No won
- Will Google dip to $260 in March?No won
- Will Google dip to $275 in March?Yes won
- Will Google dip to $290 in March?Yes won
- Will Google dip to $300 in March?Yes won
- Will Google reach $320 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $340 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $355 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $375 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $395 in March?No won
- Will Google reach $420 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.