Music · resolved market
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2d1e618740baed3f3a6bcd843938622e675273cd9ef6bdb5b2de4b2eca72e05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 32c | 11,611$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.22 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 10,713$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.21 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…799cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 75c | 9,413$7,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 7,483$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 73c | 7,352$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.41 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 23c | 7,290$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…df45backed Yes | 43c | 6,946$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 6,457$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…b15dbacked Yes | 28c | 5,693$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5866backed Yes | 44c | 5,085$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0596…5acfbacked Yes | 0c | 4,979$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed Yes | 32c | 4,892$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…6870backed Yes | 43c | 4,648$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 18c | 4,590$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.22 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa897…73a2backed Yes | 49c | 4,574$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,261$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 18c | 4,133$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.58 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 23c | 4,092$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…f383backed Yes | 46c | 3,272$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 26c | 3,130$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b200backed Yes | 7c | 3,024$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,753$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 66c | 2,300$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…3ae0backed Yes | 11c | 2,265$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…fec2backed No | 50c | 2,017$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 73c | 1,838$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.76 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45b…8433backed Yes | 7c | 1,837$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 1,834$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.3 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 11c | 1,783$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a2…8601backed Yes | 15c | 1,684$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 1,519$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.92 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…d59fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,505$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc734…182abacked Yes | 7c | 1,443$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…c4ddbacked Yes | 37c | 1,424$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 68c | 1,379$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.56 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…830cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 1,276$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 1,149$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 1,105$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 1,095$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.09 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 18c | 1,075$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 1,049$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 22c | 1,003$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…559ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…9218backed Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 978.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 912.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed Yes | 7c | 900$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…1ccabacked Yes | 8c | 855.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…9208backed Yes | 19c | 808.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 15c | 803.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 798.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 783.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 5c | 743.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 740.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 22c | 697.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Yes | 13c | 684.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…f83abacked Yes | 6c | 669.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…03d7backed Yes | 13c | 669.6$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…f960backed Yes | 25c | 666.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 651.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…d348backed Yes | 20c | 635.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…e7e5backed Yes | 17c | 626.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 25c | 623.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Yes | 8c | 601.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 56c | 595.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…6262backed Yes | 31c | 594.31$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…86ddbacked Yes | 42c | 593.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 76c | 585.4$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…5c1ebacked Yes | 17c | 576.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…7816backed No | 53c | 564.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 36c | 555$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 77c | 555$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…9c18backed Yes | 6c | 539.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…7ae4backed Yes | 12c | 520.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Yes | 40c | 520$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…d279backed Yes | 26c | 516$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 25c | 515.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…e2d9backed Yes | 6c | 508.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 23c | 503.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…2e87backed Yes | 22c | 502.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 17c | 500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 63c | 500$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…c2fbbacked Yes | 19c | 491.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 60c | 489$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 80c | 482.82$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 8c | 459.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…d09cbacked Yes | 24c | 456.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…9c46backed Yes | 28c | 451.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 33c | 448.84$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes | 24c | 443.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 26c | 430$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…7eefbacked Yes | 21c | 419.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?this page
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.