TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x956f…f960

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+44.1%+$14.55
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$34.67
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Twins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$30.31
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$12.43
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$27.38
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT+36.5%+$5,401.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.