TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Royals, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$437,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels40c245,211$98,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,084.4738043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Royals60c138,328$82,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,331.2435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Royals60c45,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0009462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Royals62c39,302$24,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,050.147058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Angels40c30,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00060249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals60c30,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Royals60c25,281$15,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,112.367363%46 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Royals60c22,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Angels30c15,986$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.4678445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels38c15,688$5,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.421,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels40c12,309$4,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,873.5973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals60c11,589$6,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,635.663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Angels41c10,738$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.428646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Angels40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals59c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.9634245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels26c6,971$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.019,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Royals79c5,500$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15545248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Royals75c5,176$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.5712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Angels39c5,081$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.89151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Angels40c5,009$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.595851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Royals59c3,900$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Royals60c3,515$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4062040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals60c3,312$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.351,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels39c3,212$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.9669249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Royals68c3,051$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.46,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Angels1c2,721$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Royals60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbb…374abacked Angels12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Angels40c2,478$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003941%16 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals60c2,470$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.142,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Royals59c2,400$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.918861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa251…23ddbacked Royals60c2,162$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.911225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Royals67c2,050$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.2338751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Royals60c1,900$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Angels25c1,850$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Royals80c1,809$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8424154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Royals72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50423060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Angels27c1,550$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.515650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Angels39c1,480$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.061,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6349…bc60backed Royals69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+103.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Angels1c1,410$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.518762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Angels41c1,283$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Royals61c1,224$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.4814453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Royals80c1,116$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.185050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Angels38c1,105$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae3…fad6backed Angels39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Angels40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Angels39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Angels40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9917045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels40c999.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Angels24c971.87$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.261,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Angels29c965.28$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1660052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Angels24c900$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Angels3c845$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9731547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb3…285dbacked Royals60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Angels40c761$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Angels40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Royals60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Angels38c749.98$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4913247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals59c736.58$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Angels41c722.07$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0514055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Angels38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26610646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Angels38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26613052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels38c620.41$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.761,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2463,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeefa…d1a2backed Angels40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Angels40c595$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23812436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Angels13c594$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.612313%3 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Angels40c587.08$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Royals62c582.33$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1831254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Angels23c581.57$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.184436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Angels40c523$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.226650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Angels41c521.95$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145945.8%27 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Angels40c504$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.644643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Angels37c499.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18311838.1%45 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…3501backed Royals69c432.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked Angels39c406.15$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.46755.2%37 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2408…9de9backed Angels40c405$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals60c358$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.21,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Angels40c345.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.241,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Angels10c333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8110713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Angels39c304$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.061,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc22…ee03backed Royals76c302.63$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.632171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Royals60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Royals70c293.16$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.42,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Royals60c270$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10827751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Angels40c269.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10833140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals69c252.64$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.434,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Angels38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9521847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels36c244$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.621,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Angels41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Angels38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7619747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Angels39c197$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.838,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Royals60c176.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.664944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Royals60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels41c162.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.791,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac0…b10abacked Royals60c153.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.541136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Angels40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.