MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f6658cc9076a7fa926c7dbe1ed102a495872d9d29dd23e5dec9d95cd953e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $939,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $939,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $939,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins | 34c | 342,022$116,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,909.24 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 27c | 83,896$22,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,223.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 49c | 73,335$35,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,709.93 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 68c | 66,904$45,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,441.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Phillies | 67c | 61,200$41,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,004 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Marlins | 32c | 57,573$18,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,136.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 65c | 57,092$37,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,109.8 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 74c | 55,785$41,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,057.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 67c | 45,000$30,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,070.68 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 73c | 43,700$31,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,858.85 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 66c | 33,891$22,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,368.06 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 21c | 29,682$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,321.79 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Phillies | 66c | 25,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 34c | 19,442$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.93 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 68c | 17,711$11,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,996.71 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 21c | 15,029$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,865.12 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Phillies | 67c | 12,998$8,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,718.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 65c | 10,555$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,860.75 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Phillies | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 68c | 8,565$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 53c | 7,154$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Marlins | 30c | 6,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +88%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 66c | 5,969$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Marlins | 32c | 5,017$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.54 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 66c | 4,895$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.14 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 65c | 4,530$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.96 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 53c | 4,137$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.97 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.91 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 73c | 3,641$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 34c | 3,600$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.27 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 64c | 3,511$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.29 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 62c | 3,247$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.57 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Phillies | 68c | 3,111$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Phillies | 66c | 3,025$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.5 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Phillies | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Phillies | 55c | 2,731$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Phillies | 66c | 2,488$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.32 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phillies | 38c | 2,364$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.28 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Phillies | 15c | 2,245$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Marlins | 39c | 2,220$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Marlins | 21c | 2,077$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.62 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 38c | 1,992$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.71 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Phillies | 80c | 1,793$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.11 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 18c | 1,790$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.23 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 23c | 1,733$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.12 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Phillies | 53c | 1,700$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…bc60backed Marlins | 48c | 1,664$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 27c | 1,656$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 67c | 1,507$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.92 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 18c | 1,405$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.76 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,288$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…416abacked Phillies | 44c | 1,240$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Marlins | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Marlins | 14c | 1,203$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.58 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 67c | 1,190$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.73 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 30c | 1,041$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.52 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Phillies | 68c | 1,000$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Marlins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Marlins | 34c | 999.76$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.84 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Marlins | 23c | 872.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.98 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Marlins | 35c | 866$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Phillies | 71c | 852.01$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.76 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Phillies | 63c | 791.39$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 33c | 761$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.87 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Phillies | 65c | 749.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Phillies | 72c | 720$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins | 35c | 715$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.75 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Marlins | 34c | 652.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.81 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 20c | 613.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.15 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 43c | 608.4$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.41 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 33c | 606$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.02 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Phillies | 66c | 604.55$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phillies | 69c | 600.04$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Marlins | 33c | 595$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.65 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Marlins | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 33c | 586.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.21 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 71c | 575.14$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 34c | 549.91$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 23c | 547.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.73 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Marlins | 5c | 534$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.75 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Marlins | 33c | 504$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.68 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Phillies | 67c | 473.38$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Phillies | 3c | 460.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Marlins | 10c | 419.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.84 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 33c | 400$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 35c | 394.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.73 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Marlins | 14c | 352.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 3c | 335$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Phillies | 33c | 320$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Phillies | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Marlins | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.