TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Twins, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,099.9826949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Twins43c20,479$8,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,673.082231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rangers57c13,527$7,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,710.3948254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Twins43c10,276$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,857.3220850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins43c9,525$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.2563152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers40c9,352$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.671,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Twins64c5,107$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers37c3,910$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.8278445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Twins42c3,428$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.0673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Twins66c2,485$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.46,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Twins43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.821450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Twins78c2,127$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5138751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers57c2,100$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19730151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers27c1,747$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers37c1,538$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.1854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85516349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers56c1,384$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.2234245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Twins42c1,313$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.532347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers57c1,268$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.5138047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Rangers59c1,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70037857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Twins63c1,063$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.612759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Twins41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins70c999.01$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.294,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Twins44c918.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4526055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88c9…3734backed Rangers57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31bf…6577backed Rangers57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Rangers57c896$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.721020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Rangers24c714.16$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…3231backed Twins43c636.34$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.712846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Twins44c630.98$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.351,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Twins64c623.56$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.27341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cad…d424backed Rangers58c621.48$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Rangers46c591.17$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers36c590.67$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.21,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Twins43c569$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3323455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers57c526$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.821,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b02…e4e8backed Twins43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06b9…9150backed Twins43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Twins43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70e…cc0dbacked Twins43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb790…8389backed Twins43c487.49$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Twins43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Twins44c452.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Rangers5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Rangers57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22813242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7946…1c01backed Twins43c399.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Twins59c375$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers6c354.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.798762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers4c353.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.831547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Rangers58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Rangers58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers57c311$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.271,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rangers59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17778454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ce…0527backed Twins42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Twins42c285.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.711,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers51c245.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Twins42c233.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2711551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers43c226.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5251334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Rangers44c224.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.21,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Twins41c201.55$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9325548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a0…f7a9backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143560%21 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d87…7c90backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17ac…9105backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd1…f50fbacked Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe325…9408backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9533…6d5fbacked Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fca…20b5backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…ec29backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72bf…087fbacked Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe21…fdb5backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad88…77e2backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f7…7f8dbacked Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5d…d027backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7493…5836backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c69…8f62backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b36…d8e6backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6886…b4f5backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…6179backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…e672backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe2f…8cf4backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f17…27e1backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb033…fb4fbacked Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…d780backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2289…6ceebacked Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…ed5abacked Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6994…c144backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f87…9026backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb369…7ac7backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18dd…51a8backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf03…c515backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf7…0255backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6011…3450backed Twins43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfe5…3c80backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…69d9backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b7…c03ebacked Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.