TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Fever vs. Aces

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acesof Fever, Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Aces80c17,525$13,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.811754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Fever8c16,097$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.1519142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fever21c7,125$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.2523931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Fever20c5,422$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Aces79c3,400$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7141163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532f…94c3backed Aces80c2,600$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c0…c012backed Fever22c2,600$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Fever20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Fever13c2,421$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Fever20c2,349$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.494835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Fever21c2,202$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4213538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Fever20c2,066$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Fever21c2,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Fever6c1,960$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1215246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Fever20c1,935$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3871225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c99…653bbacked Aces79c1,900$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1b…e5c8backed Fever22c1,896$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Fever22c1,727$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Fever20c1,700$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3472437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Fever12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Aces79c1,418$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Fever21c1,399$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Fever20c1,344$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.91952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Aces79c1,317$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.627855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Fever1c1,300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5390%0 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aces79c1,227$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.697851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Fever20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Fever30c1,098$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd3…adf8backed Fever22c1,073$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+134.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Fever21c1,000$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+114.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Fever20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Fever21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Fever2c998$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Fever20c947.35$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Aces78c820.37$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.481030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Fever21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810337.9%39 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Aces80c783.78$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Fever20c762.52$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+111.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Aces80c702$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.42646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Fever22c694.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+83.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Aces78c604.42$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.977753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Fever20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed Aces80c524.39$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Fever22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Fever25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever22c464.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Fever22c453.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.87236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Fever21c446.12$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.694443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Fever24c425$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Fever19c360.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.031040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Aces77c328.55$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.659055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Aces80c316.4$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Aces78c304.68$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.034858.3%28 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Fever20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Fever15c299.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Aces79c299.99$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Aces78c299.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fever7c297$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.087542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Fever21c285.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.986631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Aces79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick71cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa969…3501backed Aces79c251.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Aces79c240$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Fever21c238.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.062725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Fever9c228.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Aces66c212.1$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.126651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Aces78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Fever21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Fever20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6722…278cbacked Fever20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9b…d771backed Fever17c180$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed Fever12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever20c167.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.025048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Fever21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Fever8c144.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123420.6%7 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x956f…f960backed Aces79c130.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Aces78c121.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.842751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd580…62f3backed Fever22c117.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Fever22c114.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1961…ed4fbacked Fever22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Fever20c103.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652740.7%11 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+88.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fever20c101.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.025844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Fever21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Fever20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204264.3%27 W · 15 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x89ad…1fbfbacked Aces79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Fever21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…0152backed Fever22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Fever16c97.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.953633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Fever21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Fever21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9514136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Fever22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4b…5f8bbacked Fever22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d8…183ebacked Fever22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Fever22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205234.6%18 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Aces80c87.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7555…eb08backed Fever24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Aces80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158953.9%48 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Fever22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7f…90c5backed Aces80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces79c52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.926560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.