Music · resolved market
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb91739b7afb5fdbdb72d0688f593e4ba3887f5e0ada004a901e1ad5b9f51019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dda…df45backed Yes | 8c | 20,945$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…6870backed Yes | 7c | 13,969$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 10,352$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.14 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 3c | 9,126$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b200backed Yes | 2c | 8,983$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Yes | 17c | 7,300$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 2c | 7,180$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,070$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…7930backed Yes | 14c | 5,914$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…d5c3backed Yes | 1c | 4,382$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 4c | 4,367$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,357$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe1…fe7bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,579$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,451$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Yes | 16c | 3,205$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…eb36backed No | 63c | 3,104$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 3,077$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 24c | 3,007$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.84 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…41e9backed Yes | 32c | 2,998$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,782$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 2,670$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…c4a1backed Yes | 20c | 2,606$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…09c1backed Yes | 4c | 2,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,451$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…c29ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,378$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…db2bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,311$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,277$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c5…dde7backed Yes | 2c | 2,216$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 9c | 2,099$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 2,098$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…fbc2backed Yes | 1c | 2,093$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 2,092$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 10c | 2,032$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…4decbacked Yes | 2c | 1,998$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…b2f6backed Yes | 35c | 1,991$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…22cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,952$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…ed47backed Yes | 2c | 1,939$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 13c | 1,908$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…8cf3backed No | 65c | 1,896$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.65 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…8740backed Yes | 19c | 1,807$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…6e0abacked Yes | 9c | 1,749$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 10c | 1,667$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…d45abacked Yes | 1c | 1,587$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…9c18backed Yes | 1c | 1,554$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf019…e3e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,368$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 14c | 1,324$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeea…672cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,306$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…30fabacked Yes | 2c | 1,301$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…d59fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,287$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes | 36c | 1,244$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 10c | 1,210$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 63c | 1,179$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…6283backed Yes | 1c | 1,118$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…9ef6backed Yes | 19c | 1,117$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…df7fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,107$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa456…84ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,066$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…9412backed No | 67c | 989.95$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.05 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 6c | 985.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 8c | 954.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 5c | 946.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 3c | 940.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…7246backed Yes | 5c | 939.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…5aacbacked Yes | 10c | 935.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a2…8601backed Yes | 22c | 927.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…e7e5backed Yes | 3c | 915.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 20c | 913.63$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 7c | 863$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…3c22backed Yes | 4c | 859.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Yes | 4c | 819.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…fde5backed Yes | 11c | 815.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…98e4backed Yes | 2c | 804.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…a3edbacked Yes | 11c | 798.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 21c | 786.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…3566backed Yes | 3c | 738.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 721.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.13 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 3c | 720.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…3051backed Yes | 38c | 718.06$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 701.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0b…3284backed Yes | 2c | 671.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Yes | 3c | 653.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…9f79backed Yes | 4c | 650$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 631.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…127cbacked Yes | 5c | 614.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…7043backed Yes | 2c | 611.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed No | 57c | 607.45$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…785dbacked Yes | 45c | 602.12$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55a…8478backed Yes | 4c | 598.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8335…3125backed Yes | 16c | 574.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…0d85backed Yes | 18c | 549.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b70bbacked Yes | 4c | 547.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…ed5abacked Yes | 32c | 532.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…d0a1backed Yes | 5c | 526.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 29c | 521.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?this page
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?No won
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.