MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc1a9a37d3d257b685357f7b966482f98fe98d5648e28a462ff4045c359528e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Marlins, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $669,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins | 41c | 322,207$133,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,435.67 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Phillies | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 59c | 59,998$35,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,732.5 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 63c | 52,848$33,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,706.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 58c | 33,283$19,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,978.86 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Phillies | 60c | 16,669$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,667.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Phillies | 59c | 16,000$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,560 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Phillies | 58c | 14,000$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Marlins | 40c | 12,238$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 58c | 10,555$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.1 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Marlins | 33c | 7,769$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.28 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 60c | 5,555$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Marlins | 40c | 5,005$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 40c | 3,893$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.02 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 62c | 3,713$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.97 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Marlins | 41c | 3,646$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Phillies | 60c | 3,509$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 59c | 3,416$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.58 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Phillies | 60c | 3,412$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.8 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 31c | 3,061$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Phillies | 59c | 2,852$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.59 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 79c | 2,509$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.29 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 29c | 2,424$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.93 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Phillies | 71c | 1,850$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.14 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 80c | 1,776$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.18 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Phillies | 68c | 1,761$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.14 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 79c | 1,643$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.47 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Phillies | 73c | 1,500$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Marlins | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 31c | 1,379$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.24 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Phillies | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,240$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.4 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 69c | 1,216$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marlins | 24c | 1,177$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Phillies | 74c | 1,162$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.12 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 40c | 1,053$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.19 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Phillies | 59c | 1,008$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Phillies | 55c | 986.13$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marlins | 15c | 956.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 58c | 951$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.42 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Phillies | 60c | 925$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Marlins | 36c | 908.25$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.18 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Phillies | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Phillies | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 41c | 731$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Marlins | 40c | 698$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 41c | 677.15$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Marlins | 40c | 647$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 59c | 614$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marlins | 25c | 572$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Marlins | 11c | 554.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Phillies | 58c | 533.18$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Marlins | 16c | 515.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Marlins | 41c | 507.01$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Phillies | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 39c | 499.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 21c | 477.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 59c | 452$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 41c | 404.88$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Marlins | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Phillies | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Marlins | 14c | 380$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Phillies | 70c | 356.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Marlins | 28c | 356.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Phillies | 71c | 352.41$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 62c | 315$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 71c | 307.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Phillies | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 59c | 299$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 25c | 279.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Phillies | 60c | 260$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Marlins | 23c | 254.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Phillies | 63c | 253$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Phillies | 63c | 249.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…b062backed Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 18c | 238.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 59c | 236.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Phillies | 60c | 217.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marlins | 42c | 183.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.