MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262e978ac363f10668acccd8541325a1d3c2f643f0b792db611ebfd6f167c1b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Rockies, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,120,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,118,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,120,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 27c | 991,047$270,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270,740.48 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 73c | 420,542$306,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,559.41 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Mariners | 72c | 145,771$104,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,815.76 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 72c | 88,500$63,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,605 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 73c | 87,000$63,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,590 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 74c | 52,859$39,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,548.02 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Mariners | 73c | 33,009$24,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,912.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 73c | 27,253$19,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,409.72 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Mariners | 72c | 25,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mariners | 73c | 24,975$18,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,743.25 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 75c | 23,762$17,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mariners | 73c | 22,000$16,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockies | 20c | 17,780$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.1 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 72c | 14,000$10,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 72c | 11,111$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.08 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rockies | 0c | 9,852$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mariners | 72c | 5,555$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rockies | 1c | 5,206$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Rockies | 31c | 5,003$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 66c | 5,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 72c | 4,960$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.48 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 74c | 4,479$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.74 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Mariners | 74c | 4,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockies | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies | 34c | 3,992$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.18 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Mariners | 69c | 3,033$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.23 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Rockies | 30c | 3,000$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.5 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 73c | 2,555$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.85 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 1c | 2,430$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Mariners | 73c | 2,152$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.35 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Rockies | 4c | 1,627$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mariners | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.98 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies | 2c | 1,220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 33c | 1,053$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 3c | 1,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies | 27c | 999.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rockies | 28c | 995.35$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Rockies | 18c | 991.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockies | 17c | 972.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Rockies | 28c | 800.2$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rockies | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 69c | 727.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Rockies | 29c | 706.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.02 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Rockies | 34c | 698$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 22c | 671$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies | 34c | 647$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 66c | 600$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.07 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 29c | 587.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Mariners | 74c | 571.5$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mariners | 72c | 562.92$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 28c | 559.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 68c | 553.7$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Rockies | 33c | 530.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rockies | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Rockies | 35c | 506.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rockies | 26c | 503.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Rockies | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Mariners | 76c | 393.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Rockies | 5c | 354.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Rockies | 28c | 354.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies | 30c | 352.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 70c | 344.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockies | 9c | 328.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…ad77backed Rockies | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…6682backed Rockies | 13c | 297.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mariners | 68c | 296.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Rockies | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Mariners | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Rockies | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Rockies | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Mariners | 73c | 247.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 20c | 240.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mariners | 73c | 239.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…dfeebacked Mariners | 69c | 204.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mariners | 74c | 199$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rockies | 28c | 189.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…10f8backed Rockies | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b77…1cbebacked Rockies | 27c | 166.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Rockies | 25c | 157.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…30f2backed Rockies | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…ad39backed Rockies | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 67c | 144$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Mariners | 71c | 141.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Mariners | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 74c | 135.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rockies | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Mariners | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mariners | 77c | 121.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…6962backed Mariners | 73c | 120.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Mariners | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Mariners | 73c | 112.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…130cbacked Mariners | 73c | 112.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…8b95backed Rockies | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockies vs. Marinersthis page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.