WNBA · resolved market
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e8924f909c116c6a9559568d9ffff709388ca7af675a8494bd4ae26fd0bf8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 37c | 363.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4295…d464backed Yes | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c3…9522backed Yes | 67c | 150.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…4edfbacked No | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 11c | 107.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +773.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 34c | 98.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 93.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed No | 33c | 87.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…2198backed No | 46c | 74.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…9e8bbacked No | 37c | 57.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 53.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 60c | 48.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…0255backed No | 44c | 30.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…e47dbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 62c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…c8aebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…ccacbacked Yes | 63c | 19.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d4ecbacked Yes | 65c | 17.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?this page
- Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.