Lol · resolved market
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07045ea1188009f923502ecfd269d76d4918d2d973107a0cffd12cfd06a1cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NightBirdsof Colossal Gaming, NightBirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,291 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 27,274$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Colossal Gaming | 12c | 12,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Colossal Gaming | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Colossal Gaming | 13c | 3,902$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Colossal Gaming | 11c | 3,175$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.94 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Colossal Gaming | 10c | 3,154$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Colossal Gaming | 13c | 2,346$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Colossal Gaming | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Colossal Gaming | 14c | 1,860$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Colossal Gaming | 13c | 1,572$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Colossal Gaming | 12c | 1,237$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 837.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Colossal Gaming | 14c | 733.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Colossal Gaming | 12c | 680.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Colossal Gaming | 6c | 661$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Colossal Gaming | 12c | 538.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Colossal Gaming | 15c | 480$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked Colossal Gaming | 15c | 439.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Colossal Gaming | 11c | 400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colossal Gaming | 11c | 399.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…0ebcbacked Colossal Gaming | 15c | 399.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…b9d7backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 399.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Colossal Gaming | 14c | 391$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 370.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Colossal Gaming | 15c | 362.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 318$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colossal Gaming | 11c | 274$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Colossal Gaming | 14c | 264.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Colossal Gaming | 6c | 226$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Colossal Gaming | 14c | 216.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Colossal Gaming | 10c | 189.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Colossal Gaming | 11c | 184.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed Colossal Gaming | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colossal Gaming | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Colossal Gaming | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Colossal Gaming | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Colossal Gaming | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Colossal Gaming | 13c | 116.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…cc74backed Colossal Gaming | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…a79abacked Colossal Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Colossal Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Colossal Gaming | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Colossal Gaming | 15c | 69.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cthis page
- Game Handicap: NBS (-1.5) vs Colossal Gaming (+1.5)NightBirds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs NightBirds - Game 1 WinnerNightBirds won
- LoL: Colossal Gaming vs NightBirds - Game 2 WinnerNightBirds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.