TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Colossal Gaming vs NightBirds - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
NightBirdsof Colossal Gaming, NightBirds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,395 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04bd…39a0backed Colossal Gaming24c3,103$744 inLost-$744.411,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colossal Gaming12c1,904$228 inLost-$228.52,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NightBirds75c1,748$1,312 inWon+$436.2839246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Colossal Gaming13c688.38$89 inLost-$89.4918041.7%75 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed NightBirds80c400$320 inWon+$809938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Colossal Gaming28c357.14$100 inLost-$10021747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colossal Gaming17c299.41$50 inLost-$49.62,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Colossal Gaming13c208.33$27 inLost-$27.08633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Colossal Gaming15c135.33$20 inLost-$2022617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked NightBirds79c126.41$100 inWon+$26.411,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Colossal Gaming22c120.56$26 inLost-$26.214742.2%62 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Colossal Gaming17c108.98$19 inLost-$18.538458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Colossal Gaming12c100$12 inLost-$1260124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Colossal Gaming16c87.81$14 inLost-$14.0548353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Colossal Gaming21c81.42$17 inLost-$17.312,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Colossal Gaming25c53.59$13 inLost-$13.4720150.7%102 W · 99 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Colossal Gaming25c40$10 inLost-$1019251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.