Movies · resolved market
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e6a091de6901308e9b936debef526d0232fe1c3fab4adef3185289a34038ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,472 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 11c | 74,936$8,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,251.85 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 2c | 24,409$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.96 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 8,354$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,383$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,194$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.03 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 28c | 3,068$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.15 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.21 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…83b2backed Yes | 18c | 2,843$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…1b20backed Yes | 2c | 1,993$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,791$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 10c | 1,765$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 46c | 1,690$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.43 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 1,516$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.64 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 73c | 1,445$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 36c | 1,393$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.52 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 18c | 1,163$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,127$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.15 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…4b9dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,062$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…7451backed Yes | 10c | 1,054$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,046$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.27 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 930.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 7c | 893.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 15c | 823.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 66c | 742.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 704.54$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 49c | 617.44$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.24 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 447.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 36c | 437.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…403cbacked Yes | 4c | 416.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 27c | 360.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…b82abacked Yes | 4c | 318.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 45c | 299.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 71c | 241.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 37c | 239.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 13c | 217.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…9552backed No | 39c | 200.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 8c | 194.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…d96fbacked Yes | 14c | 182.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 35c | 141$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 131.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…c8aebacked No | 42c | 118.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 48c | 116.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 14c | 116.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 60c | 108.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…7228backed No | 39c | 106.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…0fd5backed No | 77c | 104.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bf…ea31backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 60c | 91.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 90.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…8433backed No | 42c | 89.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 79c | 81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 48c | 79.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7b…173bbacked No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed Yes | 22c | 70.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe5…c71cbacked Yes | 15c | 70.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked Yes | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 18c | 66.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 33c | 61.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…82a0backed Yes | 33c | 54.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…2bafbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 23c | 53.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…cc34backed Yes | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…eb72backed Yes | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Yes | 64c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 31c | 46.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 48c | 43.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 59c | 43.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…8e3fbacked Yes | 42c | 38.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…382dbacked Yes | 51c | 35.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 46c | 31.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…db5bbacked Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…0528backed Yes | 54c | 22.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…f639backed No | 67c | 22.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 58c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…424cbacked No | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?this page
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?No won
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Yes won
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?No won
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.