Movies · resolved market
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b75f56f0d4d1f8f26f51486c2a7119a8b096f555019f24ded22a600560c1c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 67c | 6,123$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.28 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.69 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 13c | 1,867$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.53 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…169ebacked No | 1c | 1,717$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 64c | 1,690$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 36c | 1,654$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.21 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 1,444$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 26c | 1,284$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.15 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,260$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.15 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 41c | 1,246$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.15 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 24c | 1,099$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.13 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 36c | 861$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 36c | 836$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…db83backed No | 2c | 812.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…8f5bbacked No | 6c | 801.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 695.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 17c | 660.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 657$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 38c | 631.3$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 28c | 603.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.28 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 69c | 554.34$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 498.7$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.62 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 36c | 448$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 32c | 424.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 406$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.43 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 31c | 388.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 26c | 373.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 44c | 274.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 272.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 10c | 267.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 19c | 239.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 18c | 235.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 40c | 229.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 33c | 229.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 78c | 211$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 206.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.63 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…cc34backed No | 6c | 206.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…80dcbacked No | 6c | 194.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 19c | 190.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 70c | 175.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…cf27backed No | 38c | 172.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 160.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked No | 8c | 158.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…e4e4backed No | 13c | 158$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 27c | 141$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 8c | 138.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 68c | 125.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 65c | 118.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 20c | 107.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…d598backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f5…4f4dbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 74c | 95.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 45c | 95.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 30c | 94.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed Yes | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 71c | 92.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 88.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 29c | 81.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 72c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…1d5abacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…ec0cbacked No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 28c | 75.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7b…173bbacked No | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…ee45backed Yes | 28c | 72.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 24c | 65.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 64c | 64.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 25c | 62.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 58c | 61.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…573dbacked Yes | 31c | 51.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…5774backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d138backed Yes | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 37c | 30.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked Yes | 75c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?this page
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?No won
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?No won
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?No won
- Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.