Commodities · resolved market

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f71fc99475cf8b32629040bb4866cbf3abc16eb13edf6a9564a94a7da34f58

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes	12c	8,500$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.81	117	34.2%40 W · 77 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf900…cd0cbacked No	76c	5,031$3,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.78	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes	1c	4,153$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+321.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes	17c	4,020$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.7	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	12c	3,396$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.27	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Yes	15c	2,737$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.17	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes	8c	2,528$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25db…28debacked Yes	23c	2,448$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.01	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes	7c	2,048$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.38	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1c72…dfb6backed No	71c	2,000$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.2	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac0e…c0bfbacked Yes	7c	1,681$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes	15c	1,600$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes	7c	1,497$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+7.7wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	1,304$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.2	91	2.2%2 W · 89 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes	7c	1,273$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.11	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes	8c	1,197$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.69	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	2c	1,130$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes	18c	1,128$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.83	210	11.9%25 W · 185 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc563…ce83backed Yes	26c	970$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	954.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	1,030	9.2%95 W · 935 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1934…0a4bbacked Yes	5c	801.05$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	19c	777$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.63	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes	25c	720$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.5	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	663$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.92	232	4.3%10 W · 222 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	28c	627.7$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.76	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b9…dc25backed Yes	2c	619.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc004…c095backed Yes	8c	552.73$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.87	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec09…1db9backed Yes	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes	9c	460.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed No	76c	458.36$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.36	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes	9c	339$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	17cpaid	-90.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	321.68$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	307	18.6%57 W · 250 L	-17.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-34%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x276e…ac88backed Yes	10c	313.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes	11c	300$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	7c	283.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	210	15.7%33 W · 177 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes	35c	278.54$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.09	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.7wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd966…af98backed Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…2899backed Yes	9c	229.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Yes	12c	225$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked No	72c	222.74$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.37	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc384…ec9ebacked Yes	16c	217.14$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…620dbacked Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b28…15dfbacked No	72c	200.63$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.18	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…18e4backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8d…309abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	19c	200$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed No	67c	195.4$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.07	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes	10c	187.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc3…4145backed Yes	6c	182.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+73.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	16c	178.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	241	26.1%63 W · 178 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e20…182ebacked Yes	10c	165.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	12c	163.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	1,048	34.5%362 W · 686 L	-94.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeb4f…4745backed No	49c	161.61$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.71	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41d3…3db7backed Yes	27c	150$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bfd…db32backed No	68c	138$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.16	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d1…09bdbacked Yes	29c	135.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked No	60c	133.77$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.42	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+9.7wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes	37c	132.01$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.48	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac8…5063backed No	61c	131.9$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.9	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	78c	131.47$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	138	58%80 W · 58 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No	70c	125$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0327…5e15backed Yes	35c	120$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c7…5b3bbacked Yes	29c	115.34$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.45	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2552…1676backed Yes	11c	115.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca75…b071backed No	67c	104.12$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.12	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…62a0backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf23…aa95backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b33…535fbacked Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x493c…953ebacked No	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…f82ebacked No	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb746…b040backed No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed No	63c	95.92$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.49	106	67.9%72 W · 34 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	62c	82.35$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.94	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	+17.9wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked No	71c	80$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53af…671cbacked Yes	34c	80$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x391f…b017backed No	68c	75$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes	15c	74.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	186	37.6%70 W · 116 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…2fe9backed No	69c	72.84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.32per pick	58cpaid	+73.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d4c…34a1backed No	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed No	65c	60$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1675…6c99backed No	72c	55$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	32c	54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9b…4611backed Yes	35c	52.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c36…0e22backed No	64c	47.97$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c71…14a4backed No	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad3…7715backed Yes	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	37c	39.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe372…43d0backed No	80c	35$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27e…a9d0backed Yes	29c	35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93b5…0f43backed Yes	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x662b…eb47backed No	66c	25.47$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.65	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4394…3055backed No	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab8…d621backed No	72c	23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.44	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	62cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b26…cf9abacked No	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?this page
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No won
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event