TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a88…62a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$9.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+70%+$16.47
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+206.1%+$40.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.9%+$15.83
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+73.9%+$17
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+70.5%+$12.4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+86.8%+$13.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.