World Politics · resolved market
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719cbd2c02c5b3ec5f2914291b49301a913cc2dffa330ca8d7813f75ca3550b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 13c | 3,188$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.41 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 57c | 2,533$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.24 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 50c | 1,633$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.7 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 23c | 1,257$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…68aebacked No | 79c | 1,075$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…5efbbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 30c | 700.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed Yes | 39c | 640$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed No | 57c | 580.25$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 57c | 491.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…c15ebacked Yes | 43c | 481.88$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…bd92backed Yes | 12c | 376.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…35e8backed Yes | 44c | 358.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 56c | 339.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0955…d3bdbacked Yes | 40c | 320$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed No | 57c | 248.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 245.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 28c | 219.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…3d8fbacked No | 56c | 211.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 24c | 209.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…fd70backed Yes | 46c | 188.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…9594backed No | 57c | 172.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 146.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…a1cabacked Yes | 50c | 143.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed No | 57c | 141.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…0690backed Yes | 43c | 139.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…ec5cbacked Yes | 18c | 130$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 117.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…72f5backed No | 55c | 115.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 10c | 113.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…5f97backed Yes | 43c | 109.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 49c | 100.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…5a57backed Yes | 43c | 100.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…62a0backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Yes | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…f177backed No | 58c | 99.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…c30ebacked Yes | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…ecafbacked No | 53c | 97.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…4fb1backed Yes | 44c | 85.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 46c | 82.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 64c | 75.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 45c | 70.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec5…65a8backed Yes | 43c | 64.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…8f5bbacked Yes | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…15d7backed Yes | 44c | 57.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 43c | 49.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0682…fd43backed Yes | 45c | 47.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…e082backed Yes | 44c | 47.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 67c | 44.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…403cbacked No | 55c | 44.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…eddcbacked Yes | 43c | 39.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 66c | 37.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…27e2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…7570backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked No | 58c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 55c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes won
- Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.