World Politics · resolved market
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1cb211af4ace8c7270dbad0187e2fb2f6eec83f552d339f2588cd7440fe544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 7c | 1,536$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 71c | 852.85$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed No | 28c | 661.2$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…c15ebacked Yes | 41c | 481.56$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 33c | 335.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.69 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…68aebacked Yes | 60c | 328.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed No | 16c | 220.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 46c | 213.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 60c | 136.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…3e18backed No | 29c | 134.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 55c | 132.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 127.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 24c | 124.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 31c | 113.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 26c | 102.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…bd92backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…ffa7backed Yes | 61c | 86.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 16c | 85.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 68c | 80.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 22c | 74.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed Yes | 25c | 66.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 54c | 62.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked No | 65c | 49.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…2dc5backed Yes | 44c | 49.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…ea85backed No | 69c | 48.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…d803backed Yes | 31c | 48.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 57c | 48.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…b4fabacked No | 49c | 33.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…b5b5backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74b…ed75backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked No | 74c | 22.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?this page
- Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
- Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.