TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f32…3e18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.1%+$11.62
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.16
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.76
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+30.7%+$13.36
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.24
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+121.2%+$19.18
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.48
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+126.7%+$18.44
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.07
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+525%+$84
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigre: Lautaro Midon vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.05
ATX Open, Qualification: Jennifer Brady vs Elizabeth Mandlikbacked Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+192.4%+$23.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.43
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+546%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+546%+$78.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Raymond Heck be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.