TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes32c235,677$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,0002429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c73,289$50,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,257.42,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No68c59,117$40,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,917.4827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c25,012$17,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,903.41,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c24,938$17,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,798.812,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c16,118$11,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No67c8,566$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.453360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c6,600$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.432,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c5,000$3,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No70c4,884$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.115658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No69c4,000$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No68c3,333$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5618259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No70c3,220$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.297544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c3,198$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.861,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No67c2,963$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.1349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c2,100$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.5852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No70c1,845$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.512847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c1,663$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.841,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes30c1,438$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No71c1,170$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c1,158$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.791,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33067042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75af…5d46backed No70c807.98$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed Yes30c799$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c765.97$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.161,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes31c709.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No78c709$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4511549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes29c602.92$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0512324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes17c585.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes19c528.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.36150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No78c466$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid+33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1724560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes6c355.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes31c345.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4210846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No70c333.89$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.172272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c309$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.749544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9330050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9332453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9635056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85fb…b48bbacked Yes8c297.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes11c267.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes30c251$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.328242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8059958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8037557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No69c249.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4919357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea72…d821backed No71c225.45$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.38875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c200.97$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c197$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.911,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c184.82$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.141,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c164$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No68c139.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.971838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes20c136.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1417244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No71c135.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.219154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No69c131.52$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.771376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No70c127$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.112060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No70c118.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4715353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Yes31c115.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.94533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe3…4766backed Yes31c107.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes21c104.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2227227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes15c104.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd520…09a1backed Yes30c101.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.511127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick58cpaid-63.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3229657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4359645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.