Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b8844944bed0f25f26f7085e8b8f3ea77d242b8b09c68ddba9b2b30418377cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.53per pick | 34cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…f42cbacked No | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 30c | 101.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed No | 31c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 64.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 63.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 52c | 57.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 55.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…3e18backed No | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 47c | 51.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 50.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4678…ef7fbacked Yes | 51c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…b97cbacked No | 51c | 20.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.