Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad04f3ce5213ed8e491f81536a1d8da9f32aa3ec5c6f475322ea6ef8d3aea02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 830.45$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 573.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 34c | 507.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 66c | 455.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 386.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 375.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 43c | 263.31$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 241.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 38c | 200.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 168.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 151.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 104.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 27c | 103.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Under | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 40c | 41.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…ea96backed Over | 44c | 32.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 31.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 41c | 29.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…45bebacked Over | 43c | 26.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…d397backed Over | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…5b07backed Under | 59c | 25.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…63a4backed Under | 59c | 24.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…c8f3backed Over | 43c | 24.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4a25backed Under | 58c | 24.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a3…ae8fbacked Under | 58c | 23.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Over | 80c | 14.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.