Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8269cb2e77b5ecd5983a5cc61ae5507021f5ff36eebb5fd274a532c3ab11e4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,150$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.53 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,365$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,161$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.06 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 62c | 807.71$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 63c | 787.35$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.3 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 680.92$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.29 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 46c | 655.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 560.91$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 66c | 522.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 67c | 395.52$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 46c | 363.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Under | 57c | 328.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 18c | 302.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 4c | 301.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 44c | 284.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 37c | 271.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 60c | 245.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 232.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 38c | 195.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 58c | 161.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 125.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 19c | 109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 55c | 108.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 94.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 79.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed Under | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 44c | 70.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 80c | 56.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 49.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Over | 55c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 64c | 39.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 59c | 23.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.