Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480ea3b15147c8e6a3f096ac8a3bff948cc74a746d69722ef460059003641f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 4,981$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 58c | 2,521$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.66 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 2,225$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.93 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…9a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 2,122$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 24c | 991.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked No | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 906.63$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 59c | 847.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 52c | 698.58$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.32 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 601.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.03 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 51c | 588.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 569.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 474.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 434.01$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 64c | 370.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 53c | 353.02$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 57c | 337.19$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 313.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked No | 5c | 301.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 56c | 252.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes | 45c | 223.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed No | 42c | 220.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Yes | 48c | 209.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 58c | 199.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 30c | 194$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 58c | 179.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 10c | 171.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 151.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 136.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 46c | 127.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 56c | 114.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Yes | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 91.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 57c | 90.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 56c | 88.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 85.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Yes | 58c | 85.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 67c | 83.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…3d82backed Yes | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 68.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 44c | 66.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2043…6407backed Yes | 57c | 59.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Yes | 73c | 57.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked No | 52c | 57.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed No | 55c | 54.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…d090backed No | 44c | 44.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 42c | 43.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…cbf3backed No | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 49c | 43.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…9812backed No | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…3e18backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…26c8backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 42c | 35.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…2e96backed Yes | 57c | 29.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…6fdfbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e6…4070backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…706dbacked No | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 25.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…37c5backed Yes | 57c | 25.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…200cbacked Yes | 57c | 25.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.