Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d2bb7c6a32db8917039b4226060e3dc665a0c4e0393f47c285899fc3819721

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $72,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,224 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	39c	13,834$5,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,420.31	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over	47c	2,647$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.9	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over	79c	1,911$1,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.31	135	65.2%88 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-8.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Under	24c	1,450$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Under	24c	1,450$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over	60c	1,329$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.94	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Under	24c	1,250$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	80c	1,150$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.49	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	21c	1,051$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.12	2,558	47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	17c	1,027$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.04	97	32%31 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	948.16$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.19	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	42c	933.23$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.61	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over	52c	900$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over	64c	900$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	62cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Over	51c	767$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.83	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	66c	757.58$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.58	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under	2c	664.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	57c	644.28$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.04	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over	77c	525$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.5	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over	79c	410.5$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.2	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over	58c	400$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under	3c	399.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	36c	384.33$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.02	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over	45c	358.72$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.3	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over	58c	329.59$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.43	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over	70c	300$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	69c	289.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.86	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	29c	276.1$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.01	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Over	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	80c	260$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	48c	247.73$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.82	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	24c	247.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.86	1,690	34.9%589 W · 1,101 L	-33.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	63c	236.25$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.14	144	63.9%92 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over	72c	236.11$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.11	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over	79c	211.39$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.39	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	30c	209.38$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.57	742	56.9%422 W · 320 L	+46.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over	79c	206.04$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.27	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	21c	196.15$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.19	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	37c	196.12$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.86	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under	6c	192.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc70…26c8backed Over	77c	187$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.01	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over	56c	179.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.02	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over	77c	155.84$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.84	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over	78c	142.31$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.31	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over	58c	139.66$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.66	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	11c	131.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over	79c	125.8$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	70c	120$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over	70c	111.4$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.26	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under	38c	104.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	30c	103$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.1	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Under	61c	100.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over	66c	100.62$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.21	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Over	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	154	61%94 W · 60 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	122	50%61 W · 61 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e6…f4a9backed Over	76c	98.77$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	67c	90.91$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	257	50.2%129 W · 128 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under	22c	90.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Over	41c	80.51$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.5	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	45c	78.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.84	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over	59c	70$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.05	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	77c	65.01$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.01	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	-14.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over	40c	61.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.02	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea1…df66backed Over	78c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	68cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over	52c	57.98$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.57	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over	70c	57$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1783…78cebacked Under	21c	56.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	31c	56.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over	72c	55.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over	66c	54.55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Over	70c	51.34$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	62c	50.05$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.05	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	66c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Over	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x386b…6d36backed Over	41c	47.05$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.76	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over	60c	45$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over	44c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-5.8wins	-0.21per pick	66cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4238…3233backed Over	64c	39.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	250	57.6%144 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	48c	37.67$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe44…74ffbacked Over	41c	36.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.59	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over	59c	34.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.96	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over	62c	33.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.77	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over	79c	33.43$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.02	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	76cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under	45c	31.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	253	48.2%122 W · 131 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Over	80c	31.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	39	76.9%30 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	71cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5this page
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event