Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090e0e08bf1d136c4b3919b3a41a43117789f0d05a41aa68fc14a23ede9353a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 55c | 65,000$35,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,749.98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 45c | 33,476$15,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,412.03 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Over | 55c | 14,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 46c | 8,448$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.81 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 52c | 7,575$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 46c | 6,613$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 69c | 5,807$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.74 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 46c | 5,196$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.01 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 54c | 4,861$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.94 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 4,145$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…c844backed Over | 55c | 3,599$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 3,277$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.68 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 40c | 2,731$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…1660backed Under | 46c | 2,570$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,254$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.19 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 53c | 2,184$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.37 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 46c | 1,856$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.47 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,708$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.4 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 26c | 1,287$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 44c | 1,260$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.88 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 1,193$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.46 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 1,145$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 1,047$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.63 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 53c | 1,036$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.08 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 46c | 999$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Under | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 55c | 733$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.15 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 56c | 727.11$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 670.63$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 30c | 538.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 538$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 533.22$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 54c | 446.2$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Under | 46c | 442.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 55c | 404.74$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 61c | 246.84$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 46c | 215.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 45c | 202$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 53c | 200.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 184.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Over | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Over | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 52c | 153.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 140.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Under | 75c | 137.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 123.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 66c | 121$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…7345backed Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 53c | 94.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 55c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.