Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Lautaro Midon vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14c018f779fc86fcf72ba11d99e67b6d12c1d5ca29f7eb463d1b28f09715fe03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Midonof Midon, Jover
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jover | 25c | 1,612$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jover | 24c | 1,432$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.84 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jover | 17c | 1,131$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Midon | 79c | 924$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Midon | 65c | 850.01$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Jover | 40c | 788.6$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.67 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jover | 36c | 611.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Midon | 76c | 608.03$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Midon | 78c | 571.73$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Jover | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Midon | 79c | 445.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Midon | 68c | 350.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Midon | 60c | 241$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Jover | 42c | 238.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Midon | 65c | 215.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jover | 37c | 213.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jover | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Jover | 41c | 177.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jover | 40c | 174.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Midon | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Midon | 59c | 168.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Midon | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Midon | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Midon | 76c | 144.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Midon | 73c | 136.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jover | 29c | 132.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Midon | 79c | 110.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Midon | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Jover | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Midon | 70c | 98.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Midon | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Midon | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Midon | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Midon | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Jover | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Midon | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jover | 41c | 44.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…f6dfbacked Jover | 27c | 41.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jover | 30c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…144dbacked Midon | 64c | 39.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Jover | 36c | 38.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Midon | 76c | 37.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…3e18backed Midon | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Midon | 62c | 30.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Midon | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Midon | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Midon | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Jover | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Midon | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…caf2backed Midon | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.