TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Trey Hendrickson play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,780 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb8…d906backed No11c450$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…abccbacked Yes55c278.48$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.412850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd3…ee24backed Yes64c277.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No20c195.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.749045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No36c187.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.786230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes8c160.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.323655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No27c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5831439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No43c59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.396949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No45c24.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.072729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked Yes71c24.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f32…3e18backed Yes53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.