TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No19c22,800$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.310057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c17,325$6,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,410.864,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes8c10,991$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.8918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes6c10,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,370.411136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes17c5,688$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,732.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes16c5,330$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,477.193145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No32c5,106$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.2446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No31c4,956$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.051,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Yes11c4,100$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+155.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes60c3,697$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes80c2,824$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.0225052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No2c2,787$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.265048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes79c2,774$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.2116548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes77c2,447$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No9c2,227$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.49141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes15c2,053$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.382,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Yes11c1,994$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.382548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb72…c3c6backed Yes16c1,796$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes16c1,569$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.756437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Yes50c1,554$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes9c1,250$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.8616232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.115226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes10c1,101$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.11926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid+33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes16c1,055$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick33cpaid+109.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes6c829.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.324035%14 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No44c808.54$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.088041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked No25c797.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes8c625$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57517634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes14c590.95$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.2235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2415543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes11c579.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.222626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes11c579.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.924630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes9c572.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.6725532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes8c526.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.131,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfac…e2a6backed Yes9c476.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+466.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes16c430$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes11c417.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7310341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes17c411.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.765646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes10c410.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.716420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No18c402.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.11100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes8c376.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.894247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes16c340.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.0232453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes6c336$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+460%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.58137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Yes10c301.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.832050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+91.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25210751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes16c299.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.493630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c258$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.411,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5356…8429backed Yes17c243.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+100.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Yes16c242.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.65333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+102.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes16c226.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6613939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes15c221.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6614975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes15c219.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9412324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes47c211.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.825530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes10c197.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.85058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes15c178.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0625544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…d08abacked Yes17c168.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x03e7…5284backed Yes16c160$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes9c152.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3211527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes12c150.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec0…c7c0backed Yes16c143.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid+108.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes10c143.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0927227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f27…fc32backed Yes14c138.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.562540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1667backed Yes17c137$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+128.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3812…8f97backed Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes9c127.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.857834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No17c123.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0515461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8bf…1119backed Yes17c117.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4e…3131backed Yes16c112$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+165.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d62…1d1bbacked Yes16c109.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No17c109.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes18c109$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.381,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1570…b24bbacked Yes11c104.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+825.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes17c101.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.941560%9 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+105.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe852…3fe6backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f32…3e18backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8544036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e36…dbb5backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4111630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes17c94.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.123348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes15c85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7232222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No79c79.12$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.719455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes15c76.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1212954.3%70 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No35c76.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.142658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f54…e340backed Yes18c75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabee…4f3fbacked Yes17c67.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+179.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x463e…4162backed Yes17c65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+471.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa87…1ab8backed Yes17c63.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+273.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ae7…35a9backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b6…9ff5backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked No51c62.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.862213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.838233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes70c34.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.391,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No75c33.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44e3…855bbacked No33c30.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes39c29.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.96055%33 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.