TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes28c10,010$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.76248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c6,787$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.652,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No75c4,821$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.345658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No75c4,813$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.363881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No66c4,176$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.942875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c4,167$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes25c3,648$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.977332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c3,468$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.752,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No74c3,276$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.756737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c3,055$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.771,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c2,539$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.711,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c2,132$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c2,000$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No75c1,925$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.372763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes57c1,805$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.83360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No36c1,739$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.1646943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Yes4c1,620$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.84411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes25c1,511$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6916050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No69c1,469$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.067176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c1,341$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.684,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No76c1,204$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.935164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes45c1,076$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4210053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes5c1,068$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.143116.1%5 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No75c963.36$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0de6…2393backed Yes33c905.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c891.05$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes27c809.68$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.169035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No44c805.17$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Yes2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39d…2c58backed Yes6c782.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes20c782.01$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No50c705.48$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0742324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c680.88$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed Yes11c645$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.751723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes53c552.74$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.957548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes67c537.5$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes40c525$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid+33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No24c501.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38126319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37538649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b2…b787backed Yes70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No76c481.56$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.581968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No75c481.56$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes25c472$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1186233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes53c458.18$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.055547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…5692backed Yes18c449.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Yes71c422.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004040%16 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes25c407.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c404.02$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aef…32cfbacked No76c401$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c397.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.51,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e78…3a8ebacked Yes24c393$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No35c382.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9529343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c374.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c373$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1345142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No38c364$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.667082.9%58 W · 12 L+14.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Yes25c356.76$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No75c328.9$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.222272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes37c325.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No62c321.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2628654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No44c321.08$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed No56c317.77$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.031457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked No56c307.14$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.149053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7830050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b46…9e3cbacked No25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+132.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No55c289$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4725052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes26c267$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.423839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes26c266.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.210846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No75c264.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9118562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed No51c264.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.531947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes20c255.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.184542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No75c250.33$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.581384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes29c207.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes25c201.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked No54c196.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.342548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c189.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed No54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No24c172.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.948041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…24a6backed Yes62c170.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.981250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Yes10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42917.2%5 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2514463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Yes65c154.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes72c149.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c148$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes30c145$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.11717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes23c143.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes73c137.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.