TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$401,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8d7…1252backed No77c32,468$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,467.58966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No70c20,744$14,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,128.6910962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes32c20,682$6,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,568.1320545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes24c18,540$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.685246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No75c15,522$11,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.4919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c15,140$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No76c13,158$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.8911349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c12,049$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.511,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes24c10,615$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6005345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c9,640$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.252,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No77c7,532$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.479749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes25c5,523$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.996650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No74c4,999$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.7914258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c4,857$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.834,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No73c4,192$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5410341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c4,100$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c4,077$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.841,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No70c4,012$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.585862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes25c3,548$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.31,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes23c3,439$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.5725544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes31c3,222$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.552035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes20c3,158$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.722,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531a…8681backed Yes0c3,122$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.422326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7205042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c2,918$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.122,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes26c2,753$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.319035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked No74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.7862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked No77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.48259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0304…a3f6backed Yes25c2,391$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes31c2,216$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c2,145$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.5413944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked No73c2,042$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.261553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked No73c1,792$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.962548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes11c1,614$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No69c1,546$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No77c1,519$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.487759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3df…beefbacked Yes25c1,293$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed No75c1,286$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes29c1,250$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505d…6c61backed No75c1,191$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes24c1,075$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No77c1,068$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes22c1,042$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5315748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No69c998.79$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.624860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e1…b47bbacked Yes5c981.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c960.42$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes28c885.56$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes24c830$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.22725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24cb…8a13backed No77c815.07$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.471729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-53.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No77c719$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes28c714.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Yes32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes29c699.94$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.986538.5%25 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes27c671$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1825052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes27c613$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes24c600.01$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed No76c562.56$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.014100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+120.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes29c513.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011139.6%44 W · 67 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c500.74$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x638f…2edcbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+261.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c1…a7f2backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd30…fed8backed Yes14c402.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1098…10a7backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes16c384.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3245142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes28c372.33$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038834.1%30 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed No68c370$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes23c351$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.737830.8%24 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes15c338.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.657326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes19c333.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked No73c311.7$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.161758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes7c301.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes31c299.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.54533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No76c294.07$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.584353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes32c294$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.087343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes28c291.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.71,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2d…0d98backed Yes31c274.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.278756.3%49 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No76c270$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.830059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.