South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d1d70c587268be1577cb5661908fd500ab5ca40fd785ae32d73d532b552a8e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,607$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed No | 0c | 5,607$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 5,329$3,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.65 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 4,889$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 3,220$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 22c | 1,622$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.89 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Yes | 64c | 1,574$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.02 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 7c | 1,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 1,057$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.22 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,005$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…dd06backed Yes | 53c | 944.91$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 16c | 786.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 775.99$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.03 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 78c | 366$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 16c | 265.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 184.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…c346backed Yes | 45c | 166.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 164.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 162.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 52c | 148.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked No | 79c | 146.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 16c | 126.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Yes | 15c | 123.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…2cffbacked No | 18c | 120.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 23c | 120$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…5e25backed No | 15c | 113$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 38c | 101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…7bfdbacked Yes | 72c | 93.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Yes | 17c | 91.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Yes | 15c | 87.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Yes | 16c | 71.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +203%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…cacabacked Yes | 71c | 63.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Yes | 73c | 55.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 56c | 53.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 49c | 47.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 25c | 44.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…92debacked No | 40c | 42.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 37.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 65c | 34.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Yes | 46c | 30.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 71c | 26.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed No | 79c | 26.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Yes | 63c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…3e18backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.