South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf943e597d8a88586147a1b0f23f97ecf2a9ccd88e5878c14fa446e9b3d8dd0e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 72c | 18,897$13,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,561.5 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 9,648$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.17 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 9,181$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 63c | 5,022$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.06 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 4,314$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 34c | 4,186$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.48 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 60c | 2,340$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.99 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 25c | 2,006$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.91 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.57 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,834$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.98 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…6f4fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,154$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 36c | 1,007$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.19 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 704.01$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 672.52$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.08 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 64c | 668.01$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.1 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked No | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 525.35$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 36c | 520.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 35c | 394.91$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 80c | 313.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 62c | 250.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 26c | 245.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…7bfdbacked Yes | 80c | 243.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 238.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.67 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 16c | 236.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 69c | 225.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 222$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 31c | 193.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 185.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 149.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 143.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 75c | 140.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 132.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 72c | 123.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 75c | 115.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 19c | 108$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 39c | 101.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked No | 21c | 96.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 16c | 86.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 29c | 83.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed No | 22c | 81.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 18c | 79.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 41c | 73.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 69.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 79c | 69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 26c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 33c | 66.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 68c | 65.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed No | 46c | 64.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 63c | 61.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 37c | 61.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 32c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 42c | 57.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…5e25backed Yes | 21c | 56.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 52.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 38c | 49.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 32c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed No | 39c | 47.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…6a81backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…92debacked Yes | 29c | 37.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…f27bbacked No | 34c | 34.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 47c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 62c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Yes | 63c | 19.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.