TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No79c10,078$7,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.3810057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes19c9,895$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No78c7,823$6,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.152286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No79c7,680$6,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes15c5,737$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8613647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No79c4,800$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.9910455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9740…6babbacked Yes21c4,300$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa898…8d2ebacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes21c4,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes3c3,410$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f45…180bbacked Yes7c3,401$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes21c2,515$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.153145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes21c2,308$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.71,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Yes19c2,105$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes20c2,064$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes21c2,000$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd69…e2cebacked Yes2c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes23c1,857$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4276437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No75c1,511$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.541,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c1,427$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c1,420$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.771,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes13c1,388$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes22c1,373$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes21c1,368$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes21c1,367$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c1,305$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.461,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes22c1,225$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.513630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No79c1,032$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.617176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes20c1,020$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3312324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2313…ec68backed Yes22c1,015$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c964.32$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.31,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes21c955$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.557844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes3c894.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.884,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…9e3cbacked No73c746.96$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+132.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No77c659.8$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes18c658.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4710626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…a146backed No79c633.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+66.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes9c607.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3113834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes20c550$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes27c548$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes22c536.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1184553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ec…00bebacked Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes4c516.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No78c499.97$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9916050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x101e…ccb5backed Yes4c478.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes18c450$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.511549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes27c429.22$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.896145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b8…0e55backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc661…ba6bbacked Yes12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes18c392$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.281631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde1…925dbacked Yes15c389.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes5c368.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f0…790cbacked Yes12c358.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes20c351.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9917244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c305.66$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.632,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7f…a00dbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes18c299.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9911443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c272.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1530050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc594…7738backed Yes24c251.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.32425%6 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes23c251.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.781936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes19c245.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb397…7c2ebacked Yes26c242$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes22c239.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6111527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes21c238.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8992…e1fdbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-73.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b92…4d16backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes19c226.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6773258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…8206backed Yes21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No78c211.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2119154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1e…5cb9backed Yes22c204.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c198.95$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.336462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c189.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes11c189.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.246720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes19c180.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.