Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open, Qualification: Jennifer Brady vs Elizabeth Mandlik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1c8a14ed717e66f9d55d8f12c010a52fe74af5dce1cc37ae6a853d39d79003a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandlikof Brady, Mandlik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brady | 49c | 2,168$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.31 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Mandlik | 65c | 2,043$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.45 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brady | 33c | 1,885$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.16 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Brady | 57c | 975.12$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Mandlik | 71c | 954.16$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.34 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mandlik | 44c | 941.07$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.15 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Brady | 64c | 786.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mandlik | 39c | 672.72$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.09 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Brady | 40c | 633.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Mandlik | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mandlik | 32c | 603.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.87 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Brady | 51c | 585.9$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mandlik | 49c | 534$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.71 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mandlik | 35c | 530$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.42 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mandlik | 49c | 419.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Brady | 58c | 307.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Mandlik | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mandlik | 34c | 279.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mandlik | 52c | 274.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.18 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Brady | 68c | 222$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mandlik | 52c | 155.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Brady | 54c | 152.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Brady | 44c | 121.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mandlik | 31c | 111.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Brady | 67c | 111.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Mandlik | 64c | 109.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brady | 59c | 107.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Brady | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Brady | 70c | 90.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Mandlik | 41c | 87.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Mandlik | 14c | 83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…df4cbacked Brady | 65c | 76.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mandlik | 57c | 72.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Mandlik | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Brady | 65c | 64.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Brady | 27c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Mandlik | 27c | 58.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mandlik | 44c | 57.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brady | 40c | 52.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Mandlik | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Brady | 49c | 43.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Brady | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mandlik | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brady | 54c | 38.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Mandlik | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…3e18backed Mandlik | 34c | 34.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brady | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Brady | 59c | 30.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Brady | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Brady | 46c | 24.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Brady | 47c | 22.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Brady | 62c | 18.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Brady | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…7758backed Brady | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.