Middle East · resolved market
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0abc9c2b0726ec594aa6547d121e46d5264d778f20acd00689d5c21b5e38d18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 75c | 10,645$7,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 27c | 6,271$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.78 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 41c | 5,356$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.6 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 26c | 5,005$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.81 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 2c | 3,949$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 22c | 3,710$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.24 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…7657backed No | 52c | 3,243$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.34 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 17c | 3,102$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.59 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 78c | 3,100$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 39c | 3,077$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.21 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…f536backed Yes | 25c | 2,795$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 46c | 2,723$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 2,666$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.28 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 9c | 2,599$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 16c | 2,579$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.32 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 41c | 2,392$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.58 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,310$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.54 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 41c | 2,130$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.71 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 39c | 2,084$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.77 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…d4e7backed No | 2c | 1,939$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 51c | 1,833$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.58 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 29c | 1,716$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 51c | 1,708$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.29 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 49c | 1,637$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.4 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 71c | 1,473$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.18 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 19c | 1,471$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.48 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…9dedbacked No | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 72c | 1,255$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 1,243$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 20c | 1,234$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 11c | 1,227$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 60c | 1,196$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.77 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 14c | 1,149$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…3448backed Yes | 78c | 1,107$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed No | 21c | 1,096$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 10c | 1,072$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 53c | 1,058$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.62 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 67c | 1,014$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.4 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 75c | 1,012$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.68 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 53c | 968.62$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.89 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…3eddbacked No | 10c | 965.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 79c | 941.01$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…9b51backed No | 34c | 939.5$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…e666backed No | 37c | 938.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…1f6ebacked No | 40c | 894.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 78c | 867.51$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 77c | 861.41$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 10c | 851.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f68…d672backed No | 18c | 807.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 8c | 800$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…6314backed No | 13c | 758.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 39c | 753.02$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.23 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 80c | 753$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 33c | 751.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…ce71backed No | 21c | 712.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 30c | 699.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed Yes | 73c | 692.68$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 62c | 668.95$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 40c | 649.57$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…26d1backed Yes | 61c | 644.17$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…cec1backed No | 8c | 640.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 70c | 640.87$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…af89backed No | 33c | 635.35$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…9281backed Yes | 60c | 629.36$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 44c | 613.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed No | 25c | 604$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 53c | 594.57$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 37c | 583.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 32c | 577.58$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 16c | 569.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 48c | 563.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 42c | 553.35$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed No | 16c | 546.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…04adbacked No | 23c | 545.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 18c | 526.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 57c | 520.56$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 64c | 515.06$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 4c | 513.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +12.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 22c | 507.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 19c | 503.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 60c | 503.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…888bbacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 4c | 499.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 61c | 499$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 13c | 494.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…a3c9backed No | 12c | 482.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 29c | 479$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…dcbbbacked Yes | 40c | 471.72$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 71c | 452.88$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…b33ebacked Yes | 79c | 451.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 64c | 444.48$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 77c | 443.9$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…0ecfbacked No | 11c | 437.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 76c | 429.57$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…d958backed No | 9c | 418.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked No | 33c | 416.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed No | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 22c | 416.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?this page
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No won
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes won
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No won
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.