Middle East · resolved market
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e591fb31786d46761d906abbffbcec8eba519b649909bfb2d7833609a960782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 21,800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 15c | 6,548$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.13 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 29c | 5,629$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.78 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…7657backed No | 46c | 4,652$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 4,600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 36c | 4,437$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.03 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked No | 34c | 4,304$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.77 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 19c | 3,957$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.04 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 78c | 3,883$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…7c43backed Yes | 54c | 3,480$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 77c | 3,100$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.67 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 71c | 2,821$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.31 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 44c | 2,687$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,553$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 14c | 2,492$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,447$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.87 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 29c | 2,373$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…9dedbacked No | 2c | 2,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 2,327$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.74 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 2,268$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.55 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 39c | 2,156$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.08 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 26c | 2,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.29 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 14c | 1,951$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.98 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,818$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…d4e7backed No | 2c | 1,715$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…6987backed No | 7c | 1,678$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked No | 34c | 1,675$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.1 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 71c | 1,555$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.27 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 11c | 1,529$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f68…d672backed No | 7c | 1,411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 20c | 1,396$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.08 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 14c | 1,237$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 44c | 1,200$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked No | 17c | 1,187$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 12c | 1,078$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 10c | 1,070$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…e666backed No | 42c | 959.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…9f8fbacked No | 10c | 897.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 31cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 10c | 893.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 46c | 845.76$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.12 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…6314backed No | 12c | 842.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…3eddbacked No | 12c | 830.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 19c | 823.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 77c | 821.8$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 14c | 795.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 77c | 767$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 734.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…6b3abacked Yes | 36c | 720.16$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.23 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +12.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…ce71backed No | 23c | 705$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 59c | 704.72$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 37c | 684.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.56 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 59c | 677.53$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.83 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 73c | 664.54$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 25c | 663.58$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed No | 19c | 636.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 57c | 623.73$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 26c | 596.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 13c | 594.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 71c | 588.4$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 33c | 571.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 72c | 566.77$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 12c | 535.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed Yes | 57c | 530.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 61c | 508.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.89 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…6e8cbacked No | 79c | 507.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…5bf9backed No | 54c | 501.06$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…0ecfbacked No | 10c | 500.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed Yes | 66c | 500$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Yes | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 30c | 466.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…844abacked No | 21c | 461.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 20c | 452.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +16.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 23c | 452.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 10c | 452$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…97c9backed Yes | 68c | 440.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 15c | 439.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 74c | 406.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 13c | 404.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…e011backed Yes | 75c | 400.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 21c | 400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 12c | 399.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…93b2backed Yes | 56c | 393.23$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…72bebacked No | 11c | 392.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 79c | 379.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +443.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…25e6backed No | 11c | 371.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 63c | 352.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked No | 51c | 340$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…ecd9backed No | 7c | 337.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed Yes | 73c | 336.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc154…6177backed No | 60c | 336.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed No | 35c | 334.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…04adbacked No | 13c | 330$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 39c | 328$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 41c | 327.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…2f43backed Yes | 77c | 324.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?this page
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No won
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes won
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes won
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.