Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab6b1a95ecc958c4e84d435092cf6c7d802e9ac695e84ded414388190357cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 65c | 7,742$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…d001backed No | 63c | 3,906$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,736$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,644$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 65c | 3,568$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.92 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed No | 69c | 3,247$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 44c | 2,749$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 47c | 2,486$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 52c | 2,131$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 58c | 2,029$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…3ef9backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed Yes | 33c | 1,456$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 32c | 1,440$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.49 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 28c | 1,295$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.85 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 68c | 1,270$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked No | 41c | 1,247$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed No | 30c | 1,050$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 33c | 1,033$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 66c | 994.89$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…4735backed No | 63c | 977.43$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 71c | 971.6$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.62 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 58c | 737$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 65c | 731.85$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked No | 62c | 722.34$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.85 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed No | 67c | 703.04$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 61c | 663.56$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 32c | 616.9$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Yes | 68c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked No | 22c | 582.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 43c | 559.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…0d18backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 45c | 483.75$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a6…d7a8backed Yes | 71c | 425.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Yes | 39c | 422.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…5fe4backed Yes | 26c | 418.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 17c | 388$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…5ad4backed Yes | 54c | 372.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 59c | 334.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed No | 11c | 324.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…9cdcbacked Yes | 34c | 313.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Yes | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 74c | 298.65$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff08…79fabacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Yes | 31c | 272.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked No | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…4873backed No | 12c | 266.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…d868backed Yes | 39c | 253.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 10c | 243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 62c | 241.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…d60cbacked Yes | 35c | 240.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 78c | 214.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 211.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 72c | 197$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed No | 62c | 190$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 40c | 187.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 64c | 179.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 31c | 175$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked No | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 45c | 169.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 58c | 151.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 30c | 148.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…6d59backed Yes | 69c | 142.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 138.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 63c | 138.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 20c | 123$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 67c | 122.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 69c | 117.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 57c | 117$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…4b36backed Yes | 41c | 101.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb9…02ddbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked No | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 41c | 99.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked No | 67c | 95.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed No | 53c | 93.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259f…cbb7backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…1df1backed Yes | 47c | 89.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 33c | 85.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 51c | 84.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed Yes | 31c | 84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed No | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…7c6abacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea6…48b5backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 69c | 56.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 67c | 53.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?this page
- Will Darmstadt 98 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?No won
- Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
- Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.